Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.420646 0.464840 0.512306 0.567175 0.628976 0.696569 0.776279
2025-06-15 0.351284 0.412795 0.483734 0.572023 0.679550 0.806998 0.970597
2025-06-22 0.305413 0.373501 0.455770 0.563325 0.701441 0.874484 1.110280
2025-06-29 0.273448 0.345211 0.435221 0.557692 0.721962 0.937507 1.246442
2025-07-06 0.241635 0.312966 0.405185 0.534830 0.715097 0.960951 1.328739
2025-07-13 0.226377 0.300392 0.398871 0.541721 0.747387 1.038669 1.493239
2025-07-20 0.213206 0.289136 0.392814 0.547547 0.777549 1.114878 1.662574
2025-07-27 0.201789 0.279141 0.387299 0.553019 0.806783 1.191377 1.839730
2025-08-03 0.190955 0.268980 0.380476 0.555501 0.831009 1.261578 2.013691
2025-08-10 0.182127 0.260968 0.375973 0.560725 0.859349 1.340122 2.209598
2025-08-17 0.169758 0.246786 0.361122 0.548452 0.858206 1.369870 2.323652
2025-08-24 0.163338 0.241111 0.358712 0.555487 0.888897 1.455146 2.546115
2025-08-31 0.154543 0.231357 0.349509 0.551097 0.900527 1.509668 2.720564
2025-09-07 0.148346 0.225280 0.345695 0.555292 0.927245 1.593461 2.961957
2025-09-14 0.140101 0.215395 0.335031 0.546917 0.930721 1.634725 3.123464
2025-09-21 0.133137 0.207153 0.326492 0.541472 0.938814 1.685025 3.309396
2025-09-28 0.123597 0.194146 0.309229 0.519377 0.914128 1.669714 3.353701
2025-10-05 0.120012 0.190831 0.308103 0.526038 0.944123 1.764512 3.650510
2025-10-12 0.116486 0.187398 0.306522 0.531668 0.972467 1.858597 3.958650
2025-10-19 0.113131 0.184054 0.304862 0.536957 1.000457 1.954578 4.284772
2025-10-26 0.109527 0.180076 0.301821 0.539355 1.022715 2.040466 4.598931
2025-11-02 0.106548 0.177026 0.300243 0.544403 1.050755 2.141661 4.966278
2025-11-09 0.101282 0.169648 0.290388 0.532543 1.042235 2.160314 5.123800